TERRAIN MASKING: It dropped to 5,000 feet after turning back from Kuala Lumpur-Beijing route on March 8
SEPANG: MAS Airlines flight MH370 dropped to an altitude of 5,000 feet, or possibly lower, to defeat commercial (secondary) radar coverage after it turned back from its Kuala Lumpur-Beijing route on March 8.
Investigators are poring over the Boeing 777-200ER's flight profile to
determine if it had flown low and used "terrain masking" during most of
the eight hours it was missing from the radar coverage of possibly at
least three countries.
Top officials, who make up the technical team that had been holed up
from morning till late at night here, are looking at the possibility
that the jetliner, carrying 239 people, had taken advantage of the busy
airways over the Bay of Bengal. By sticking to commercial routes, the
flight may not have raised the suspicion of those manning primary
(military) radars of the nations it overflew. To them, MH370 would
appear to be just another commercial aircraft on its way to its
destination.
"The person who had control over the aircraft has a solid knowledge of
avionics and navigation, and left a clean track. It passed low over
Kelantan, that was true," said officials.
"It's possible that the aircraft had hugged the terrain in some areas, that are mountainous to avoid radar detection."
This technique is called terrain masking and is used by military pilots
to fly to their targets stealthily, using the topography to mask their
approach from prying microwaves. This type of flying is considered very
dangerous, especially in low-light conditions and spatial
disorientation, and airsickness could easily set in. The stresses and
loads it puts on the airframe, especially an airliner of the 777's size,
are tremendous.
"While the ongoing search is divided into two massive areas, the data
that the investigating team is collating is leading us more towards the
north," sources said.
Prime Minister Datuk Seri Najib Razak said the flight data showed that
the plane's last communication with the satellite, reported as Inmarsat,
was in one of two possible corridors: a northern corridor, stretching
approximately from the border of Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan to northern
Thailand; or a southern corridor, stretching roughly from Indonesia to
the southern Indian Ocean.
Sources close to the investigation by a multinational team told the New
Straits Times that the probe would also focus on regions with disused
airports equipped with long runways capable of handling "heavies" like
the Triple Seven. If anything, the area investigators could be covering
has been narrowed down to MH370's eight hours of flight time, based on
the jet's fuel load.
This followed MAS' confirmation of records that showed that the pilot
had not made any amendments to the plane's fuel requirements. It was
enough to take it to Beijing, with a 45-minute reserve in case of
diversion to an alternate field.
Investigators are also factoring in the extra fuel the aircraft would
have burnt in the denser lower air if it had flown "down on the deck"
for sustained periods. Pilots agree that MH370 would lose up to about
two hours of fuel. Any erratic manoeuvres would have also eaten into the
jet's fuel reserves.
"Going by the hijacking theory, assuming it had landed, where would one hide a Boeing 777?" one said.
From about the time the aircraft made the turnback at waypoint Igari
near the Vietnamese airspace, right up to the point where it left
military primary radar coverage, six routine automated signals from the
aircraft (known as electronic handshakes or "pings") were registered on
the Inmarsat satellite network.
The last confirmed handshake was at 8.11am on Saturday, which would
indicate that the aircraft continued flying for nearly seven hours after
contact was lost.
Sources also confirmed that the seventh handshake never came.
"The seventh signal was sent but there has been no feedback.
"There are two likely possibilities -- either the plane landed somewhere and the engine was shut down or it crashed."
Kuala Lumpur has officially approached countries, in hopes that they
would openly share and review their radar and satellite data.
It has not gone unnoticed that crucial information had been leaked and
appearing in the foreign media, quoting their respective governments'
sources. Such information, crucial to the search for the airplane, only
came the Malaysian government's way later.
Investigators are also calculating to determine how far the aircraft may have flown and the possible landing sites.
"As soon as the first country comes up with evidence of the flight's
position after its last confirmed position (320km northwest of Penang),
we will be able to refine the search and better determine its possible
location."
Data harvested from Inmarsat was not able to do that as the static satellite could only detect the pings at a 40o angle.
Meanwhile, another highly-placed source told the NST that initial
forensics checks on Captain Zaharie Ahmad Shah's flight simulator showed
that it was "clean".
However, experts are probing deeper into the footprint of the homemade simulator, which he had at his home in Shah Alam.
The same source said investigators who had opened investigation papers
into the case was looking at all the passengers' backgrounds.
"The police, among others, are establishing their background and recent contacts.
"They are not leaving anything to chance and are even checking if any
one of them had taken up any insurance policies recently."
A source with Malaysia Airlines, meanwhile, confirmed that both pilots were on that plane as rostered.
They had not swapped flight schedules with anyone. MAS pilots get their rosters at the end of every month.
Foreign media reports quoting a source familiar with US assessments of
Inmarsat "pings" said it looked like the plane turned south over the
Indian Ocean, where it would presumably have run out of fuel and
crashed.
"So, its location will be extremely difficult to pinpoint.
"Without further radar/satellite/eyewitness testimony, say experts, it
is very much like looking for a needle in a haystack," the reports said. Additional reporting by Aliza Shah and Tharanya Arumugam
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